Once Caldas vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PER
1 - 1
ONC
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
IND
1 - 0
ONC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PAS
1 - 0
ONC
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FEN
2 - 2
MWA
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
BVS
2 - 0
FEN
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TAC
0 - 1
FEN
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
FEN
1 - 0
LFC
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FEN
1 - 1
PEÑ
40%
22%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |