Once Caldas vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ONC
4 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 0
ONC
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
ONC
0 - 3
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 3
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 0
COB
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 0
ENV
53%
27%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
EQU
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 0
TRU
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 2
EQU
40%
30%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |