Once Caldas vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
ONC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
ONC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 1
ENV
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 3
ONC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IND
2 - 2
ONC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
EQU
0 - 0
CUC
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 0
EQU
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
EQU
1 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 1
CUC
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 0
EQU
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |