Once Caldas vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
ONC
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 2
EQU
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ONC
4 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 0
ONC
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
ENV
0 - 0
ALI
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
ENV
0 - 4
IND
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 0
ENV
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ENV
2 - 1
MIL
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |