Once Caldas vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 2
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
ONC
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PAS
5 - 1
ONC
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CUC
1 - 0
ENV
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 4
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |