Once Caldas vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 2
ONC
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ONC
0 - 0
AME
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 1
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
ONC
1 - 0
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 3
SFE
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ENV
0 - 2
AGU
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 2
ENV
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 2
CAR
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
ENV
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |