Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 2
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
ONC
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 2
SCI
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SCI
1 - 0
ONC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
HUI
3 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
SFE
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 3
TOL
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 4
AME
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |