Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
ONC
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 1
ONC
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ONC
1 - 0
AGU
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
SFC
2 - 1
TOL
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 0
EQU
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |