Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 2
ONC
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 1
ONC
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
ONC
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 3
EQU
40%
28%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CUC
2 - 0
TOL
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 1
HUI
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |