Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 1-0
Once Caldas vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ENV
1 - 1
ONC
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
ONC
2 - 2
TOL
29%
29%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
ONC
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
ONC
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ONC
0 - 0
PER
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
BAR
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
QUI
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
QUI
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
TFC
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
RSC
0 - 0
QUI
23%
29%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |