Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 2-3
Once Caldas vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
ONC
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CUC
3 - 1
ONC
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
ONC
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
TOL
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 0
TFC
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CUC
3 - 1
ONC
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
CUC
15%
25%
61%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 0
ORS
78%
15%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 0
CUC
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |