Once Caldas vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1999 |
ONC
4 - 1
RIV
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
CAL
1 - 0
ONC
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1999 |
VEL
0 - 1
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
VEL
2 - 5
ARG
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1998 |
PLA
3 - 5
VEL
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |