Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 3-4
Once Caldas vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ONC
3 - 3
PER
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 1
ONC
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CAL
3 - 0
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ONC
4 - 0
UNI
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
ONC
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 0
INS
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 1
ONC
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
LAN
1 - 1
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 2
CEN
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
4 - 1
GIM
78%
16%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |