Once Caldas vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
ONC
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
ONC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 3
ONC
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ONC
0 - 3
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
ONC
24%
27%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
3 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAT
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOR
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |