Once Caldas vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
ONC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
52%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 3
ONC
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 0
RIO
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
ONC
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
SFE
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 2
CHI
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |