Once Caldas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 0
ONC
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ONC
3 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
4 - 3
ONC
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 2
JUN
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
ONC
50%
26%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
CHI
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 2
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |