Once Caldas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
ONC
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 0
AME
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
ONC
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 0
EQU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ONC
3 - 2
JUN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
HUI
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 2
NAC
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
PAS
2 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 2
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |