Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Once Caldas vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
ONC
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 4
ONC
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 0
AGU
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ONC
5 - 0
CUC
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 0
ONC
28%
25%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
ONC
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 4
AME
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 0
AME
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
CAL
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |