Once Caldas vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 1
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
ONC
1 - 0
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 3
ONC
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
JUN
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 3
ONC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2009 |
AME
2 - 2
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CUC
1 - 1
AME
40%
29%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
QUI
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
AME
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MIL
3 - 1
AME
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |