Once Caldas vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 2
ONC
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 0
HUI
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 3
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |