Omonia Nicosia vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
JUG
1 - 4
OMO
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
OMO
4 - 0
JUG
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAP
2 - 2
OMO
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
APO
1 - 2
OMO
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
OMO
1 - 1
ENO
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
ROD
0 - 1
CSK
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
CSK
1 - 1
LPL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
CSK
5 - 1
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ROD
1 - 3
CSK
27%
26%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |