Omonia Nicosia vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
2º
65
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
73 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
OMO
1 - 1
PAP
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
OMO
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 1
AEK
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
OMO
2 - 1
ANO
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 1
AEZ
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ANO
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAP
1 - 0
ARI
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
APO
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ANO
2 - 3
ARI
37%
25%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |