Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
6º
6º
66
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
AEL
0 - 1
OMO
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 0
OMO
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAF
0 - 1
OMO
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
OMO
1 - 2
APO
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
OMO
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAF
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
AEK
51%
27%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 0
AEK
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 0
OMO
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |