Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
AEK
0 - 1
OMO
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 2
OMO
31%
22%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
OMO
2 - 0
MIL
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
AEK
5 - 3
OMO
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
APO
2 - 0
OMO
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
AEK
0 - 1
OMO
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAN
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
PAN
2 - 2
AEK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEK
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |