Gornja Vrba vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
69%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HNK
3 - 0
SEG
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 3
HNK
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HNK
1 - 1
IMO
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNK
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAG
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |