Omiya Ardija vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
KAA
2 - 2
OMI
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
OMI
3 - 3
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
OMI
0 - 0
ALB
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
TOK
1 - 1
OMI
29%
25%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 0
OMI
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
TOK
0 - 2
URA
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 1
TOK
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
KAR
4 - 1
TOK
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
TOK
1 - 1
OMI
29%
25%
45%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
NAG
2 - 1
TOK
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |