Omiya Ardija vs Renofa Yamaguchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OMI
2 - 1
ALB
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
EHI
1 - 5
OMI
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TOK
2 - 1
OMI
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
OMI
2 - 1
ROA
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
OMI
1 - 2
MAT
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
KYO
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
REN
2 - 2
TOK
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
EHI
2 - 0
REN
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
ROA
2 - 2
REN
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
REN
2 - 2
MIT
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |