Omiya Ardija vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VEG
2 - 3
OMI
68%
20%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OMI
3 - 2
YOK
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 0
OMI
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
OMI
0 - 0
BLA
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RYK
1 - 1
OMI
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JEF
1 - 2
MAC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
OIT
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 3
MAC
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 2
VVA
28%
26%
45%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |