Omiya Ardija vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
JUB
2 - 0
OMI
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
OMI
1 - 4
ALB
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
OMI
3 - 2
SHI
65%
22%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
OMI
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
TOK
1 - 1
OMI
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
JEF
1 - 0
TOK
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
JEF
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2005 |
URA
1 - 3
JEF
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 1
JEF
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
JEF
1 - 2
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |