Omiya Ardija vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
KAR
1 - 2
OMI
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OMI
3 - 2
SHO
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KAA
1 - 3
OMI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 1
SAG
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
OMI
5 - 0
JUB
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
VEG
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FCT
2 - 1
KAA
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
URA
3 - 1
FCT
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 2
URA
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FCT
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |