Omiya Ardija vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
JEF
1 - 3
OMI
64%
20%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
JUB
2 - 1
OMI
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
KYO
1 - 1
OMI
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
OMI
1 - 4
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
OMI
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FCT
3 - 2
GAM
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
5 - 2
FCT
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NAG
1 - 2
FCT
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
FCT
1 - 4
ALB
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
KAA
3 - 2
FCT
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |