Oman vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
OMA
2 - 1
TJK
72%
20%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
OMA
2 - 1
BHR
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
OMA
0 - 0
ECU
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OMA
1 - 1
PHL
75%
18%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
JOR
0 - 0
OMA
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
OMA
2 - 1
TJK
72%
20%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
PHL
0 - 2
TJK
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
PHL
2 - 1
TJK
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
TJK
0 - 0
YEM
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TJK
3 - 0
NPL
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |