Oman vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 0
IRQ
38%
26%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
SGP
0 - 2
OMA
24%
24%
53%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
MDV
1 - 2
OMA
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
MDV
0 - 1
OMA
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 0
THA
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
IND
0 - 4
JPN
13%
25%
62%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 2
ARG
25%
27%
49%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 3
JPN
22%
23%
56%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
BHR
3 - 4
JPN
6%
16%
78%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 1
JOR
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |