Olympique St Quentin vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
10º
15º
11º
31
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
REI
1 - 2
OLY
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
FCS
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
USB
2 - 0
OLY
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
LUS
23%
26%
52%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRC
3 - 2
OLY
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
MET
4 - 2
ESW
33%
26%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
MET
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
SPI
17%
23%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FUR
2 - 0
MET
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MET
4 - 1
STG
37%
28%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |