Olympique St Quentin vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
13º
9º
20
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 49 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 43 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
5 - 3
OLY
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
FUR
17%
25%
59%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 1
OLY
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUX
5 - 0
OLY
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
ESW
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 0
FEI
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
LEN
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 1
VIM
73%
15%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEN
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |