Olympique St Quentin vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
8º
4º
3
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
5 - 3
OLY
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
FUR
17%
25%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 1
OLY
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUX
5 - 0
OLY
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
ESW
32%
26%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 0
FEI
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
LEN
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 1
VIM
73%
15%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEN
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |