Olympique St Quentin vs Iris Club de Croix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
8º
4º
7
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 1
OLY
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
LPV
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
LEN
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
5 - 3
OLY
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
FUR
17%
25%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Iris Club de Croix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IRI
2 - 1
LEN
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OCP
4 - 1
IRI
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IRI
3 - 0
DIE
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IRI
0 - 1
FEI
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IRI
4 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |