Olympique Marseille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
40%
27%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 5
NIC
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
LYO
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 2
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
REI
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
REN
1 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
VAL
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |