Olympique Marseille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOR
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
ASS
4 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 4
LYO
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
VAL
76%
15%
8%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 3
LIL
23%
30%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
VAL
3 - 1
TRO
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TFC
3 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |