Olympique Marseille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 2
NAN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
ANG
0 - 0
MAR
29%
22%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
MAR
3 - 0
ASN
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
ANG
2 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 2
ASS
37%
26%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1971 |
VAL
0 - 0
SED
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
VAL
2 - 1
ANG
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
NAN
2 - 0
VAL
70%
18%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1971 |
VAL
1 - 3
ANG
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1971 |
ASN
0 - 2
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |