Olympique Marseille vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
0 - 0
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SOC
0 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
MAR
5 - 1
DEP
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
REN
3 - 2
MAR
49%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 0
NAN
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LMU
1 - 0
TRO
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 1
PSG
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 2
TRO
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 0
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |