Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
LHA
4 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAN
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
LEN
1 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
TFC
0 - 1
NIO
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
TFC
1 - 1
GUI
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
NAN
3 - 2
TFC
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
LYO
4 - 1
TFC
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
TFC
1 - 0
LEN
31%
29%
41%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |