Olympique Marseille vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
NAN
0 - 2
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 2
SOC
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
ASN
0 - 2
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
STR
1 - 3
AUX
28%
30%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
STR
6 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
GIR
1 - 0
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
STR
0 - 0
MET
28%
29%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |