Olympique Marseille vs Stade de Reims analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
5º
3º
7
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
46.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League
|
9% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 5
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 2
MAR
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPO
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Stade de Reims
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REI
0 - 2
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REI
2 - 2
AUX
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 0
REI
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
REI
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
3 - 0
REI
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |