Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Olympique Marseille vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 2
MAR
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
6 - 1
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
VAL
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 1
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 0
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 0
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
DIN
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
LEV
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |