Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-5
Olympique Marseille vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SOU
4 - 0
MAR
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
STL
2 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
MAR
3 - 1
MET
59%
22%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
CHA
6 - 2
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SOU
4 - 0
MAR
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
SOU
1 - 1
SHE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |