Olympique Marseille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
LIL
2 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
REN
0 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 1
BRE
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
AUX
3 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
STL
54%
28%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MON
0 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
TFC
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |