Olympique Marseille vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
MAR
2 - 0
RED
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
ASS
2 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEN
47%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 2
NAN
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
SED
2 - 0
FCR
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
FCR
0 - 0
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
LYO
2 - 1
FCR
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
GIR
1 - 0
FCR
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |