Olympique Marseille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
LEN
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
SOC
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
0 - 0
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
3 - 2
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
LYO
1 - 1
PSG
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
PSG
2 - 1
GIR
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |