Olympique Marseille vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
2º
30
5º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
81% | 8.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
15% | 15% |
|
Europa League
|
3% | 12.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NIC
2 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
67%
19%
13%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
49%
25%
26%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
5 - 1
LHA
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
LYO
1 - 1
LUD
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NAN
1 - 1
LYO
17%
22%
62%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FEN
0 - 0
LYO
32%
23%
46%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LYO
0 - 0
TFC
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BOU
2 - 2
LYO
8%
16%
75%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | +1 |