Olympique Marseille vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 3
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUI
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MPL
0 - 1
GIR
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
RCE
0 - 1
MPL
6%
16%
78%
|
79 | 28 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 0
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
GUI
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |